Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.000257 0.000287 0.000320 0.000357 0.000399 0.000444 0.000497
2025-04-13 0.000213 0.000254 0.000301 0.000358 0.000426 0.000504 0.000600
2025-04-20 0.000179 0.000226 0.000282 0.000353 0.000443 0.000552 0.000694
2025-04-27 0.000160 0.000212 0.000277 0.000364 0.000479 0.000624 0.000822
2025-05-04 0.000144 0.000198 0.000269 0.000370 0.000507 0.000688 0.000945
2025-05-11 0.000129 0.000185 0.000262 0.000373 0.000531 0.000748 0.001067
2025-05-18 0.000116 0.000172 0.000251 0.000371 0.000546 0.000795 0.001176
2025-05-25 0.000106 0.000163 0.000246 0.000375 0.000571 0.000857 0.001309
2025-06-01 0.000096 0.000152 0.000236 0.000371 0.000582 0.000900 0.001415
2025-06-08 0.000088 0.000143 0.000229 0.000370 0.000597 0.000949 0.001534
2025-06-15 0.000081 0.000136 0.000224 0.000371 0.000615 0.001003 0.001665
2025-06-22 0.000075 0.000129 0.000216 0.000368 0.000626 0.001045 0.001781
2025-06-29 0.000070 0.000123 0.000213 0.000372 0.000649 0.001111 0.001943
2025-07-06 0.000065 0.000117 0.000208 0.000373 0.000668 0.001172 0.002103
2025-07-13 0.000059 0.000110 0.000200 0.000369 0.000677 0.001216 0.002236
2025-07-20 0.000057 0.000109 0.000202 0.000380 0.000715 0.001314 0.002474
2025-07-27 0.000054 0.000105 0.000200 0.000386 0.000742 0.001396 0.002688
2025-08-03 0.000051 0.000102 0.000198 0.000390 0.000766 0.001472 0.002899
2025-08-10 0.000047 0.000097 0.000192 0.000387 0.000778 0.001526 0.003070
2025-08-17 0.000045 0.000094 0.000190 0.000392 0.000804 0.001609 0.003306
2025-08-24 0.000042 0.000089 0.000184 0.000388 0.000812 0.001657 0.003474
2025-08-31 0.000039 0.000085 0.000180 0.000387 0.000826 0.001719 0.003674
2025-09-07 0.000037 0.000082 0.000177 0.000388 0.000845 0.001791 0.003902